Jun 26, 2017

Gold: Putting In A Significant Bottom

I think the significant thing though for the US Dollar and gold is that the dollar is in the process of putting in a very significant top and the flip side of that is that gold is in the process of putting in a significant bottom. I think the catalysts for breakdowns in the dollar and breakouts in gold is going to be some realization, some capitulation on the part of the markets, the Federal Reserve to square perception with reality because you know the economic surprise index is at the lowest that span since 2011. People have been looking forward to good news and they've been disappointed constantly. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX))

Jun 22, 2017

Gold: The Opposite of a Bubble

Gold, I think is getting ready again for a move in the opposite direction (higher) but you have the opposite of a bubble in gold. Certainly if you look at the United States, Americans are buying less gold now than they've done you know since the bull market began in 1999-2000. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ))

Jun 21, 2017

When Markets Are As Extended, They Can Top On Anything

We had a bit of a turnaround Tuesday today all of the major US stock market averages were higher in the morning and we closed broadly lower on the day. In fact the Dow Jones Industrials Average (DJIA) did make a new all-time record high this morning before closing down about 60 points so though the decline in the Nasdaq was a little bit greater. We had a 0.82% decline in the Nasdaq, the Dow was only down by about 0.3%. The S&P 500 Index though had a bigger decline as it was down about 0.7%, so the broader averages took a bigger decline than did the Dow.

Now, I don't think the technical damage is extreme. Yes, we made new highs and close lower but it really wasn't an outside day, I mean we didn't close below Monday's lows for example which would have been an outside reversal but we'll see. You know, when markets are as extended as they are, of course, you know, they can top on anything.

Jun 20, 2017

Investing: How To Profit From The Trump Train Wreck

Peter Schiff speaks in Vancouver at the International Metal Writers Conference on how to profit from the Trump train wreck. (Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD))

Jun 19, 2017

Housing Starts Declining, Trouble Ahead?

We had an unexpected big drop in housing starts. This is the third month in a row that the starts are down but not only where housing starts way down but building permits were also way down so that means that this trend is likely to continue. The last time we had three consecutive monthly declines it was in 2009. What was going on in 2009? Oh, the greatest recession since the Great Depression! (KB Home (NYSE:KBH), Lennar Corporation (LEN), SPDR S&P Homebuilders (ETF) (XHB), D.R. Horton (DHI))

Jun 16, 2017

A Hawkish Federal Reserve

We actually got a hawkish hike not only did the Federal Reserve raise rates but they did nothing to dampen expectations for future interest rate hikes. In fact Janet Yellen in her prepared remarks and in the press conference that followed was very upbeat, very optimistic on the economy not worried about anything and no longer talking about the need for some kind of confirmation that prior economic weakness was transitory. She thinks that it's clear skies as far as the eye can see.

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